How VCs Make Investment Decisions

July 10, 2023

Venture Capital (VC) firms employ three primary investment decision-making models.

The Studio Model favors a hands-on approach where studio operators work directly with founders on product-market fit (PMF) or the initial idea. These VC firms often specialize in a specific industry, providing sector-specific resources and easy access to investors. They look for companies that have specific sector knowledge, and with the VC’s resources in network and capital, the Company is likely to grow with customers and revenue.

The Follow-on Investor Model consists of VCs who primarily make investment decisions based on the actions of reputable, lead investors. Some of these follow-on investors have their own specific thesis or industry focus, while others base their decisions purely on the actions of the lead investors.

The Traditional Lead Investor Model involves a thorough examination of several factors, including the company’s product, market size, the founders’ experience and domain knowledge, and overall industry trends.

Regardless of the model they follow, most VC firms look for several key indicators when deciding to invest in a company.

1. Founders’ Prior Startup Knowledge: Founders with prior startup experience often have a better understanding of the business landscape, including the challenges and opportunities it presents. This knowledge can be invaluable in navigating the early stages of a startup, making pivots when necessary, managing cash flow, and steering the company toward success.

2. Founders’ Domain Knowledge: When founders have expertise in the industry in which they’re launching a startup, they’re more likely to understand the market dynamics, customer needs, and potential regulatory constraints. This knowledge can help shape the product/service in a way that is more likely to succeed.

3. A Technology Cofounder: Startups with a team of founders where at least one has strong technical expertise are often more innovative and better equipped to adapt their product to the changing tech landscape. They can handle tech-related issues more efficiently, reducing reliance on external tech support.

4. Really Solving an Existing Problem: Companies that address a real, existing problem tend to attract more customers and grow faster. The problem should be significant enough that people are willing to pay for a solution.

5. Understanding Where the Beachhead is and How to Target the Bigger Market: Startups that have a clear idea of their initial target market (the ‘beachhead’) and a plan for scaling to larger markets are often more appealing to VCs. This indicates a robust growth strategy that revolves around continued product improvement and user acquisition.

6. The Market Size is Over $1 Billion: A potential market size of over $1 billion suggests there’s ample room for growth. Large markets often accommodate multiple players and can result in significant returns even if the startup secures a small market share.

7. VC’s Own Resource and Network: VCs that not only provide funds but also strategic advice, industry connections, and other resources can significantly enhance a startup’s growth trajectory. If the VC’s resources align well with the startup’s needs, it can be a strong indication of investment.

8. What Would Other VCs Do: Interest from other VCs, especially for later-stage funding rounds, validates the startup’s potential. Most VCs have a network of LPs and partners who can make investments in future rounds and know very well how they make investment decisions. This can provide reassurance about the company’s future prospects and potential for high returns.

9. Founders are Coachable and Have Great Business Acumen: Founders who are open to advice, willing to learn, and display strong business acumen are often more likely to lead a company to success. Their willingness to adapt and their understanding of the business landscape can make a significant difference in the startup’s performance.

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